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How many copies did Karate Survivor sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 84k–137k
$116k–$311k after Steam's cut $210k–$479k before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Karate Survivor and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Karate Survivor's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–2.5M
best case 9.9M (NARAKA: BLADEPOINT)
Games like Karate Survivor

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies

≈ $14.5M–$40.3M after Steam's cut

from ~73k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Fighting (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: NARAKA: BLADEPOINT at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 48k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fighting (4 of 8) and Martial Arts (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Martial Arts.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Spartan Fist
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$24k before Steam's cut
$14.99
46 reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeBeat 'em up
Sifu
2023
Est. copies
≈ 717k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
ActionMartial Arts
TEKKEN 8
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$19.8M–$53.4M after Steam's cut $36.1M–$82.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
73k reviews
Mixed
Fighting3D Fighter
Street Fighter™ 6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterFighting
暖雪 Warm Snow
2022
Est. copies
≈ 971k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut
$17.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$66.8M after Steam's cut $45.2M–$102.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeAction
Pixel Ninja
2020
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$218–$585 after Steam's cut $396–$900 before Steam's cut
$7.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Action RoguelikeSide Scroller

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