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How many copies did TEKKEN 8 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
$19.8M–$53.4M after Steam's cut $36.1M–$82.1M before Steam's cut
from 73k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TEKKEN 8 and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including TEKKEN 8's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–3.0M
best case 4.3M (TEKKEN 7)
Games like TEKKEN 8

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–3.0M copies

≈ $43.1M–$56.3M after Steam's cut

from ~76k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: TEKKEN 7 at ≈ 3.3M–5.3M copies, ≈ $36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fighting (4 of 4) and 3D Fighter (2 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting + Competitive, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 4 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Street Fighter™ 6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterFighting
TEKKEN 7
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut $65.7M–$149.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAction
DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$66.8M after Steam's cut $45.2M–$102.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeAction
JUMP FORCE
2019
Est. copies
≈ 648k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
23k reviews
Mostly Positive
AnimeFighting

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