How much revenue did TEKKEN 7 make?

$36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did TEKKEN 7 sell?

Q: How many copies did TEKKEN 7 sell?

3.3M to 5.3M copies, based on its 96k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3.3M–5.3M; $36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut $65.7M–$149.5M before Steam's cut; from 96k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TEKKEN 7 and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including TEKKEN 7's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.2M–12.7M

best case 18.7M (Brawlhalla)

Games like TEKKEN 7

A typical game among these

≈ 6.2M–12.7M copies

≈ $33.8M–$79.7M after Steam's cut

from ~176k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Brawlhalla at ≈ 14.2M–23.1M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 2D Fighter (2 of 3) and Fighting (2 of 3).
The winners: Winners here lead with Fighting + 2D Fighter.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	176k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureSouls-like
Stick Fight: The Game 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–7.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	125k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFunny
Brawlhalla 2017	Est. copies ≈ 14.2M–23.1M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	413k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer