How much revenue did Just Cause™ 3 make?

$34.3M–$92.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Just Cause™ 3 sell?

Q: How many copies did Just Cause™ 3 sell?

6.2M to 10.1M copies, based on its 128k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6.2M–10.1M; $34.3M–$92.3M after Steam's cut $62.4M–$142.0M before the cut; from 128k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Just Cause™ 3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Just Cause™ 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.9M–9.7M

best case 26.7M (BeamNG.drive)

Games like Just Cause™ 3

The middle of these games

≈ 4.9M–9.7M copies

≈ $82.7M–$156.4M after Steam's cut

from ~190k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is FPS (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: BeamNG.drive at ≈ 20.3M–33.0M copies, ≈ $139.6M–$375.3M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 40k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on FPS (4 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Driving, priced around $25.
The era: The games you compared span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
BeamNG.drive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.3M–33.0M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $139.6M–$375.3M after Steam's cut $253.8M–$577.4M before the cut	$24.99	416k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationDriving
Ring of Elysium 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	99k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayBattle Royale
Battlefield™ V 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.7M–10.9M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $92.0M–$247.3M after Steam's cut $167.2M–$380.5M before the cut	$49.99	270k reviews Mostly Positive	FPSMultiplayer
Battlefield™ 1 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $62.0M–$166.6M after Steam's cut $112.7M–$256.3M before the cut	$39.99	227k reviews Very Positive	FPSMultiplayer
Need for Speed™ Heat 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $73.3M–$197.1M after Steam's cut $133.3M–$303.3M before the cut	$69.99	154k reviews Very Positive	RacingOpen World
Deep Rock Galactic 2020	Est. copies ≈ 9.4M–15.3M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $77.7M–$208.8M after Steam's cut $141.2M–$321.2M before the cut	$29.99	380k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DwarfCo-op
Teardown 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.7M–$74.5M after Steam's cut $50.4M–$114.7M before the cut	$29.99	136k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DestructionPhysics
Space Engineers 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.3M–$57.2M after Steam's cut $38.7M–$88.0M before the cut	$19.99	134k reviews Very Positive	SpaceSandbox