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How big is Fuse?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 126k–205k
from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fuse and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fuse's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.7M–26.0M
best case 32.0M (Cyberpunk 2077)
Games like Fuse

A typical game among these

≈ 8.7M–26.0M copies

≈ $462.6M–$671.6M after Steam's cut

from ~345k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Character Customization (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Cyberpunk 2077 at ≈ 24.4M–39.6M copies, ≈ $402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 33k reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 326k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Character Customization (3 of 8) and FPS (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Open World, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Far Cry® 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.8M–9.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut $172.9M–$393.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
190k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction-Adventure
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24.4M–39.6M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
983k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
Baldur's Gate 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21.3M–34.6M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
859k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGCharacter Customization
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
441k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Paladins®
2018
Est. copies
≈ 10.5M–17.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
345k reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterFree to Play
The Sims™ 4
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
201k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimCharacter Customization
FitnessVR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15 reviews
Mixed
SportsVR

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