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How many copies did Fallout 4 VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 302k–490k
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
from 9k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fallout 4 VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fallout 4 VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 438k–752k
best case 996k (Horizon Forbidden West™ Complete Edition)
Games like Fallout 4 VR

A typical game among these

≈ 438k–752k copies

≈ $3.6M–$13.7M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Horizon Forbidden West™ Complete Edition at ≈ 759k–1.2M copies, ≈ $12.5M–$33.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 284 reviews in their first month; the range was 26 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (7 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Female Protagonist, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Contagion VR: Outbreak
2020
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$48k–$128k after Steam's cut $86k–$197k before Steam's cut
$9.99
698 reviews
Mixed
IndieVR
Into the Radius VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 281k–456k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
VRExtraction Shooter
VR Kanojo / VRカノジョ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 60k–97k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$823k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Horizon Forbidden West™ Complete Edition
2024
Est. copies
≈ 759k–1.2M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.6M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSingleplayer
Z.O.N.A: Origin
2025
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before Steam's cut
$19.99
589 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessShooter
Z.O.N.A Project X VR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$43k–$115k after Steam's cut $78k–$178k before Steam's cut
$19.99
315 reviews
Mostly Positive
ShooterOpen World
Strayed
2024
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$45k–$122k after Steam's cut $82k–$187k before Steam's cut
$14.99
443 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessOpen World Survival Craft
Arizona Sunshine® VR Legacy
2016
Est. copies
≈ 387k–629k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
9k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionVR

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