How much revenue did WastePunk make?

$612–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did WastePunk sell?

Q: How many copies did WastePunk sell?

446 to 725 copies, based on its 18 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 446–725; $612–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut; from 18 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid WastePunk and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including WastePunk's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.9M–8.5M

best case 56.0M (Rust)

Games like WastePunk

A typical game among these

≈ 5.9M–8.5M copies

≈ $38.7M–$64.0M after Steam's cut

from ~127k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Survival (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Open World, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Survival + Multiplayer + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.4M reviews Very Positive	SurvivalCrafting
The Long Dark 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–6.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$97.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	124k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition 2009	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.6M–$36.5M after Steam's cut $24.7M–$56.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	156k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseZombies
DayZ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 14.3M–23.2M 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut	$49.99	470k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalOpen World
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
Grim Dawn 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.6M–7.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $31.4M–$84.5M after Steam's cut $57.2M–$130.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	110k reviews Very Positive	Action RPGHack and Slash
Unturned 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.4M–31.6M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	565k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlaySurvival
Killing Floor 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $44.4M–$119.4M after Steam's cut $80.8M–$183.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	129k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesMultiplayer