How much revenue did Grim Dawn make?

$31.4M–$84.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Grim Dawn sell?

Q: How many copies did Grim Dawn sell?

4.6M to 7.4M copies, based on its 110k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4.6M–7.4M; $31.4M–$84.5M after Steam's cut $57.2M–$130.0M before Steam's cut; from 110k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Grim Dawn and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Grim Dawn's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–6.8M

best case 20.7M (Path of Exile)

Games like Grim Dawn

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–6.8M copies

≈ $20.1M–$51.5M after Steam's cut

from ~99k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Path of Exile at ≈ 15.8M–25.7M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 86k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 128k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action RPG (8 of 8) and Hack and Slash (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dark Fantasy + Action RPG.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Path of Exile 2013	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.7M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	250k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayDark Fantasy
Titan Quest Anniversary Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $8.7M–$23.4M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	38k reviews Very Positive	RPGHack and Slash
Lost Ark 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.2M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	203k reviews Mostly Positive	MMORPGFree to Play
Last Epoch 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $28.3M–$76.0M after Steam's cut $51.4M–$116.9M before Steam's cut	$34.99	118k reviews Mostly Positive	Action RPGLoot
Diablo® IV 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $26.8M–$72.1M after Steam's cut $48.8M–$111.0M before Steam's cut	$49.99	79k reviews Mixed	Action RPGHack and Slash
Torchlight II 2012	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.8M–$42.6M after Steam's cut $28.8M–$65.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	46k reviews Very Positive	RPGAction RPG
Wolcen: Lords of Mayhem 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	68k reviews Mixed	Action RPGHack and Slash
Path of Exile 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut $84.3M–$191.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	227k reviews Mostly Positive	Action RPGHack and Slash