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How many copies did Pilgrims sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 182k–296k
$350k–$942k after Steam's cut $637k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pilgrims and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pilgrims's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 124k–240k
best case 941k (Gorogoa)
Games like Pilgrims

A typical game among these

≈ 124k–240k copies

≈ $181k–$677k after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Gorogoa at ≈ 717k–1.2M copies, ≈ $3.0M–$7.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Point & Click (6 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Hand-drawn, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Beautiful + Singleplayer + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Tiny Bang Story
2011
Est. copies
≈ 420k–683k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$577k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickPuzzle
Tukoni: Prologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 100k–162k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureCasual
Gorogoa
2017
Est. copies
≈ 717k–1.2M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleHand-drawn
Samorost 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 187k–303k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$256k–$689k after Steam's cut $466k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickCasual
Old Man's Journey
2017
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$404k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $735k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureCasual
They Breathe
2014
Est. copies
≈ 73k–119k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$40k–$108k after Steam's cut $73k–$166k before Steam's cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle Agent
2010
Est. copies
≈ 180k–292k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$247k–$663k after Steam's cut $448k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleAdventure
Looking Up I See Only A Ceiling
2023
Est. copies
≈ 89k–145k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$49k–$131k after Steam's cut $89k–$201k before Steam's cut
$1.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePsychological

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