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How many copies did Granny Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 177k–288k
$243k–$654k after Steam's cut $443k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Granny Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Granny Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 575k–1.1M
best case 12.1M (People Playground)
Games like Granny Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 575k–1.1M copies

≈ $458k–$3.5M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: People Playground at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Sandbox (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Sports, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Football (Soccer) + Free to Play + Local Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

eFootball™
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Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
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Free
119k reviews
Mixed
Football (Soccer)Free to Play
House Party
2022
Est. copies
≈ 383k–623k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
NudityMature
People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
321k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
NBA 2K19
2018
Est. copies
≈ 686k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
23k reviews
Mostly Negative
SportsBasketball
Shower With Your Dad Simulator 2015: Do You Still Shower With Your Dad
2015
Est. copies
≈ 490k–796k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$133k–$358k after Steam's cut $242k–$551k before Steam's cut
$0.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Arcade2D
Mountain
2014
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$248k–$668k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$0.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
Digger Online
2015
Est. copies
≈ 869k–1.4M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$7.99
18k reviews
Mixed
Story RichAction
Ultimate Epic Battle Simulator
2017
Est. copies
≈ 421k–684k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationSandbox

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