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How many copies did Sophie's Dice sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
from 140 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sophie's Dice and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sophie's Dice's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 737k–2.4M
best case 4.8M (Tabletop Simulator)
Games like Sophie's Dice

A typical game among these

≈ 737k–2.4M copies

≈ $2.8M–$16.3M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Tabletop Simulator at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 80 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (8 of 8) and Tabletop (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tabletop + Board Game, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Tabletop Simulator
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TabletopBoard Game
Richman10
2019
Est. copies
≈ 424k–690k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut
$13.99
15k reviews
Mixed
CasualMultiplayer
Talisman: Digital Classic Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 561k–912k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$6.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
Board GameTabletop
Tabletop Creator Pro
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$61k–$163k after Steam's cut $110k–$251k before Steam's cut
$59.00
151 reviews
Mostly Positive
TabletopBoard Game
Dynamic Dungeons Editor
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$49k–$131k after Steam's cut $89k–$201k before Steam's cut
$29.99
238 reviews
Mixed
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Catan Universe
2017
Est. copies
≈ 626k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Mixed
Board GameMultiplayer
Virtual Board Game Room
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$138–$364 after Steam's cut $250–$560 before Steam's cut
$19.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
SoftwareBoard Game

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