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How big is The Defender: Farm and Castle?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 32k–51k
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Defender: Farm and Castle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Defender: Farm and Castle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 440k–1.4M
best case 21.7M (Counter-Strike)
Games like The Defender: Farm and Castle

A typical game among these

≈ 440k–1.4M copies

≈ $2.7M–$7.1M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike at ≈ 16.6M–26.9M copies, ≈ $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (6 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Classic + Team-Based + First-Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2000 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Counter-Strike
2000
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionFPS
Sanctum 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 910k–1.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Orcs Must Die! 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
Orcs Must Die!
2011
Est. copies
≈ 539k–876k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseAction
Bloons TD Battles
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayTower Defense
Plants vs. Zombies: Battle for Neighborville™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 468k–760k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
MultiplayerThird-Person Shooter
X-Morph: Defense
2017
Est. copies
≈ 146k–237k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$803k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
GUNS UP!
2018
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayStrategy

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