How much revenue did X-Morph: Defense make?

$803k–$2.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did X-Morph: Defense sell?

Q: How many copies did X-Morph: Defense sell?

146k to 237k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 146k–237k; $803k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid X-Morph: Defense and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including X-Morph: Defense's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–14.4M

best case 13.1M (7 Days to Die)

Games like X-Morph: Defense

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–14.4M copies

≈ $14.5M–$85.0M after Steam's cut

from ~156k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Tower Defense (3 of 7), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: 7 Days to Die at ≈ 9.9M–16.2M copies, ≈ $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Tower Defense (3 of 7) and Base-Building (2 of 7).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Zombies, priced around $45.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2000 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Bloons TD 6 2018	Est. copies ≈ 12.0M–19.6M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut	$13.99	396k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseStrategy
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
Counter-Strike 2000	Est. copies ≈ 16.6M–26.9M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	262k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionFPS
Kingdoms and Castles 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	32k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Colony Sim
Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition 2009	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.6M–$36.5M after Steam's cut $24.7M–$56.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	156k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseZombies
Minion Masters 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	65k reviews Very Positive	PvETrading Card Game
Mindustry 2019	Est. copies ≈ 813k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	28k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Base-BuildingResource Management