How much revenue did Mindustry make?

$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mindustry sell?

Q: How many copies did Mindustry sell?

813k to 1.3M copies, based on its 28k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 813k–1.3M; $2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.2M before Steam's cut; from 28k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mindustry and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mindustry's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 981k–1.6M

best case 7.7M (Factorio)

Games like Mindustry

A typical game among these

≈ 981k–1.6M copies

≈ $6.7M–$10.6M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Factorio at ≈ 5.9M–9.5M copies, ≈ $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 86k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Base-Building (6 of 8) and Building (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Automation + Base-Building, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Automation + Crafting + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Kingdom: Classic 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	23k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStrategy
Dome Keeper 2022	Est. copies ≈ 558k–906k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$17.99	22k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerPost-apocalyptic
Kingdoms and Castles 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	32k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Colony Sim
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M 9.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut	$35.00	236k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
The Riftbreaker 2021	Est. copies ≈ 619k–1.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingTower Defense
Forts 2017	Est. copies ≈ 876k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$14.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingMultiplayer
They Are Billions 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	52k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingColony Sim
Stronghold Crusader HD (2012) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MilitaryCity Builder