How much revenue did The Riftbreaker make?

$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Riftbreaker sell?

Q: How many copies did The Riftbreaker sell?

619k to 1.0M copies, based on its 25k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 619k–1.0M; $5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut; from 25k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Riftbreaker and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Riftbreaker's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 835k–1.4M

best case 13.1M (7 Days to Die)

Games like The Riftbreaker

A typical game among these

≈ 835k–1.4M copies

≈ $5.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: 7 Days to Die at ≈ 9.9M–16.2M copies, ≈ $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 47k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 327k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Base-Building (6 of 8) and Resource Management (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Base-Building + Survival, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Survival + Crafting; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
They Are Billions 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	52k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingColony Sim
Dome Keeper 2022	Est. copies ≈ 558k–906k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$17.99	22k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerPost-apocalyptic
Kingdom: Classic 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	23k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStrategy
Kingdoms and Castles 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	32k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Colony Sim
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M 9.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut	$35.00	236k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
Mindustry 2019	Est. copies ≈ 813k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	28k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Base-BuildingResource Management
Tribes of Midgard 2021	Est. copies ≈ 577k–938k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	23k reviews Mostly Positive	Open World Survival CraftOnline Co-Op
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M 16x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies