How much revenue did Bloons TD 6 make?

$46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Bloons TD 6 sell?

Q: How many copies did Bloons TD 6 sell?

12.0M to 19.6M copies, based on its 396k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 12.0M–19.6M; $46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut; from 396k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bloons TD 6 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bloons TD 6's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–1.9M

best case 13.1M (7 Days to Die)

Games like Bloons TD 6

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–1.9M copies

≈ $7.6M–$16.8M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Base-Building (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: 7 Days to Die at ≈ 9.9M–16.2M copies, ≈ $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Base-Building (4 of 8) and Resource Management (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Zombies, priced around $35.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2000 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M 13x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
Counter-Strike 2000	Est. copies ≈ 16.6M–26.9M 8.3x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	262k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionFPS
Kingdoms and Castles 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	32k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Colony Sim
They Are Billions 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	52k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingColony Sim
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M 7.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut	$35.00	236k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
Bloons TD Battles 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	29k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayTower Defense
Minion Masters 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	65k reviews Very Positive	PvETrading Card Game
Mindustry 2019	Est. copies ≈ 813k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	28k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Base-BuildingResource Management