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How many copies did Figment 2: Creed Valley sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 36k–58k
$245k–$660k after Steam's cut $446k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Figment 2: Creed Valley and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Figment 2: Creed Valley's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 80k–224k
best case 413k (TOEM: A Photo Adventure)
Games like Figment 2: Creed Valley

A typical game among these

≈ 80k–224k copies

≈ $695k–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: TOEM: A Photo Adventure at ≈ 315k–512k copies, ≈ $1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 525 reviews in their first month; the range was 250 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Exploration (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cozy + Wholesome, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

CHRONO CROSS: THE RADICAL DREAMERS EDITION
2022
Est. copies
≈ 63k–102k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$344k–$926k after Steam's cut $626k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mixed
JRPGRPG
TOEM: A Photo Adventure
2021
Est. copies
≈ 315k–512k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CozyWholesome
Jusant
2023
Est. copies
≈ 172k–280k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericParkour
INDUSTRIA
2021
Est. copies
≈ 108k–176k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$595k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
FPSAction
Quern - Undying Thoughts
2016
Est. copies
≈ 170k–277k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Genesis Noir
2021
Est. copies
≈ 57k–92k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$234k–$629k after Steam's cut $425k–$967k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
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NoirPoint & Click
Venba
2023
Est. copies
≈ 94k–153k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$387k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $704k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
CookingCasual
Firmament
2023
Est. copies
≈ 41k–66k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$393k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $714k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
PuzzleAdventure

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