How much revenue did Genesis Noir make?

$234k–$629k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Genesis Noir sell?

Q: How many copies did Genesis Noir sell?

57k to 92k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 57k–92k; $234k–$629k after Steam's cut $425k–$967k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Genesis Noir and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Genesis Noir's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.8M–4.0M

best case 5.0M (Disco Elysium - The Final Cut)

Games like Genesis Noir

A typical game among these

≈ 2.8M–4.0M copies

≈ $18.7M–$45.0M after Steam's cut

from ~52k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Disco Elysium - The Final Cut at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Detective (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Katana ZERO 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsAction
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut $75.8M–$172.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	132k reviews Very Positive	RPGStory Rich
Return of the Obra Dinn 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveMystery
Skullgirls 2nd Encore 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.1M–$37.8M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$58.1M before Steam's cut	$24.99	32k reviews Very Positive	Fighting2D Fighter
The Wolf Among Us 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.5M–4.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.5M–$28.2M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	40k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureDetective
Max Payne 3 2012	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.4M–$60.2M after Steam's cut $40.7M–$92.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	64k reviews Very Positive	ActionThird-Person Shooter
Mafia: Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.5M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	111k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldCrime
L.A. Noire 2011	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut $23.4M–$53.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	37k reviews Very Positive	DetectiveCrime