How much revenue did L.A. Noire make?

$12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did L.A. Noire sell?

Q: How many copies did L.A. Noire sell?

2.3M to 3.8M copies, based on its 37k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2.3M–3.8M; $12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut $23.4M–$53.1M before Steam's cut; from 37k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid L.A. Noire and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including L.A. Noire's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 148k–239k

best case 609k (Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator)

Games like L.A. Noire

A typical game among these

≈ 148k–239k copies

≈ $1.8M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator at ≈ 464k–755k copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 321 to 12k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Detective (7 of 8) and Crime (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Detective + Crime, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Precinct 2025	Est. copies ≈ 232k–377k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	9k reviews Very Positive	DetectiveCrime
Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator 2023	Est. copies ≈ 464k–755k 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	19k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureDriving
Sherlock Holmes Chapter One 2021	Est. copies ≈ 113k–184k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$44.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	DetectiveOpen World
Murdered: Soul Suspect 2014	Est. copies ≈ 976k–1.6M 3.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	17k reviews Very Positive	DetectiveAdventure
Sherlock Holmes: The Devil's Daughter 2016	Est. copies ≈ 604k–982k 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	15k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureDetective
Sherlock Holmes: Crimes and Punishments 2014	Est. copies ≈ 451k–733k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	8k reviews Very Positive	DetectiveAdventure
The Testament of Sherlock Holmes 2012	Est. copies ≈ 251k–407k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	AdventureDetective
Paradise Killer 2020	Est. copies ≈ 113k–183k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $619k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Story RichInvestigation