How much revenue did Max Payne 3 make?

$22.4M–$60.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Max Payne 3 sell?

Q: How many copies did Max Payne 3 sell?

4.1M to 6.6M copies, based on its 64k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4.1M–6.6M; $22.4M–$60.2M after Steam's cut $40.7M–$92.7M before Steam's cut; from 64k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Max Payne 3 and predicted how it would do from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including Max Payne 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 369k–1.1M

best case 830k (Sniper Elite V2)

Games like Max Payne 3

A typical game among these

≈ 369k–1.1M copies

≈ $2.3M–$4.7M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 6 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sniper Elite V2 at ≈ 632k–1.0M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Third-Person Shooter (6 of 6) and Bullet Time (3 of 6).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sniper + Stealth.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2017, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 43 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sniper Elite V2 unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 632k–1.0M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	26k reviews Very Positive	SniperAction
Max Payne 2011	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	16k reviews Very Positive	ActionNoir
Vanquish 2017	Est. copies ≈ 275k–447k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	ActionThird-Person Shooter
Max Payne 2: The Fall of Max Payne 2008	Est. copies ≈ 933k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	15k reviews Very Positive	ActionNoir
Sniper Elite: Nazi Zombie Army 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 265k–431k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesAction
Sniper Elite: Nazi Zombie Army 2013	Est. copies ≈ 298k–484k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesAction