How much revenue did Max Payne make?

$2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Max Payne sell?

Q: How many copies did Max Payne sell?

1.0M to 1.6M copies, based on its 16k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.0M–1.6M; $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut; from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Max Payne and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Max Payne's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 67k–1.2M

best case 3.6M (Mafia: Definitive Edition)

Games like Max Payne

A typical game among these

≈ 67k–1.2M copies

≈ $306k–$7.2M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mafia: Definitive Edition at ≈ 2.8M–4.5M copies, ≈ $30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 835 reviews in their first month; the range was 74 to 16k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Crime, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Fahrenheit: Indigo Prophecy Remastered 2015	Est. copies ≈ 435k–707k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	9k reviews Mostly Positive	Story RichQuick-Time Events
Max Payne 2: The Fall of Max Payne 2008	Est. copies ≈ 933k–1.5M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	15k reviews Very Positive	ActionNoir
Mafia: Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.5M 19x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	111k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldCrime
Whiskey.Mafia. Leo's Family 2020	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before Steam's cut	$5.99	408 reviews Mixed	IndieStory Rich
Black The Fall 2017	Est. copies ≈ 63k–103k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $260k–$700k after Steam's cut $473k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	IndieAdventure
Mafia II: Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 967k–1.6M 6.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $8.0M–$21.4M after Steam's cut $14.5M–$33.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	39k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
3dSen PC 2025	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $57k–$154k after Steam's cut $104k–$236k before Steam's cut	$14.99	559 reviews Very Positive	PlatformerAdventure
The Saboteur™ 2024	Est. copies ≈ 74k–120k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $202k–$544k after Steam's cut $368k–$837k before Steam's cut	$9.99	3k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure