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wishvane

How many copies did Vanquish sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 275k–447k
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Vanquish and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vanquish's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.2M–30.1M
best case 37.9M (HELLDIVERS™ 2)
Games like Vanquish

A typical game among these

≈ 7.2M–30.1M copies

≈ $69.8M–$202.2M after Steam's cut

from ~290k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: HELLDIVERS™ 2 at ≈ 28.9M–46.9M copies, ≈ $317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 103k reviews in their first month; the range was 98k to 251k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Third-Person Shooter (5 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Shooter, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 28.9M–46.9M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.2M reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpPvE
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
678k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
Resident Evil 4 (2005)
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
99k reviews
Very Positive
Inventory ManagementSurvival Horror
Robocraft
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
117k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayRobots
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$93.0M–$250.0M after Steam's cut $169.0M–$384.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KAction
Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21.0M–34.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
429k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Very Positive
StealthOpen World

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