How much revenue did Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2 make?

$93.0M–$250.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2 sell?

5.6M to 9.2M copies, based on its 227k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5.6M–9.2M; $93.0M–$250.0M after Steam's cut $169.0M–$384.6M before Steam's cut; from 227k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 516k–59.9M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2

A typical game among these

≈ 516k–59.9M copies

≈ $136k–$585.8M after Steam's cut

from ~478k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Third-Person Shooter (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 149 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 251k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Third-Person Shooter (4 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 5.8x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Red Dead Redemption 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 26.6M–43.2M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	923k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldStory Rich
Warhammer 40,000: Eternal Crusade 2016	Est. copies ≈ 520k–845k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	12k reviews Mixed	Warhammer 40KAction
Warhammer 40,000: Dakka Squadron - Flyboyz Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 13k–22k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $74k–$198k after Steam's cut $134k–$305k before Steam's cut	$19.99	541 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionWarhammer 40K
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy 2015	Est. copies ≈ 101.5M–164.9M 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.1M reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
HELLDIVERS™ 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 28.9M–46.9M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.2M reviews Mostly Positive	Online Co-OpPvE
Relictor 2024	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut	$9.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	Early AccessSimulation
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine - Anniversary Edition 2011	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.4M–$62.8M after Steam's cut $42.5M–$96.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	34k reviews Very Positive	Warhammer 40KAction