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How many copies did Warhammer 40,000: Dakka Squadron - Flyboyz Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–22k
$74k–$198k after Steam's cut $134k–$305k before Steam's cut
from 541 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warhammer 40,000: Dakka Squadron - Flyboyz Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warhammer 40,000: Dakka Squadron - Flyboyz Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–12.3M
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Warhammer 40,000: Dakka Squadron - Flyboyz Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 4.8M–12.3M copies

≈ $69.2M–$149.3M after Steam's cut

from ~149k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is War (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 49k reviews in their first month; the range was 32k to 98k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share War (3 of 8) and Automobile Sim (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
Total War: WARHAMMER II
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
121k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyFantasy
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.5M–33.4M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
421k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.2M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$93.0M–$250.0M after Steam's cut $169.0M–$384.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KAction
The Crew™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.0M–$67.2M after Steam's cut $45.5M–$103.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
100k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingOpen World
Warhammer: Vermintide 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$37.0M–$99.6M after Steam's cut $67.3M–$153.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
148k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opDark Fantasy
Total War: WARHAMMER III
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$61.3M–$164.8M after Steam's cut $111.4M–$253.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
150k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut $69.1M–$157.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
139k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorTeam-Based

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