Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine - Anniversary Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
$23.4M–$62.8M after Steam's cut $42.5M–$96.6M before Steam's cut
from 34k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine - Anniversary Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine - Anniversary Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 516k–59.9M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine - Anniversary Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 516k–59.9M copies

≈ $136k–$585.8M after Steam's cut

from ~575k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Third-Person Shooter (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 49k reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 251k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Third-Person Shooter (4 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Warhammer 40,000: Eternal Crusade
2016
Est. copies
≈ 520k–845k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Mixed
Warhammer 40KAction
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.5M–164.9M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 28.9M–46.9M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.2M reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpPvE
Warhammer 40,000: Dakka Squadron - Flyboyz Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 13k–22k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$74k–$198k after Steam's cut $134k–$305k before Steam's cut
$19.99
541 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionWarhammer 40K
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$93.0M–$250.0M after Steam's cut $169.0M–$384.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KAction
Red Dead Redemption 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
923k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldStory Rich
Relictor
2024
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut
$9.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Early AccessSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.