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How many copies did The Wolf Among Us sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
$10.5M–$28.2M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.4M before Steam's cut
from 40k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Wolf Among Us and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Wolf Among Us's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.2M–6.7M
best case 10.3M (Batman™: Arkham Knight)
Games like The Wolf Among Us

A typical game among these

≈ 4.2M–6.7M copies

≈ $47.2M–$77.5M after Steam's cut

from ~88k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Batman™: Arkham Knight at ≈ 7.8M–12.7M copies, ≈ $43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Stealth (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Superhero, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Batman™: Arkham Origins
2013
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.8M–$61.3M after Steam's cut $41.5M–$94.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
66k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Batman: Arkham Asylum Game of the Year Edition
2010
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.5M–$82.0M after Steam's cut $55.5M–$126.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionStealth
Batman™: Arkham Knight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut $78.2M–$177.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
160k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Persona 3 Reload
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
Batman: Arkham City - Game of the Year Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.3M–$73.3M after Steam's cut $49.6M–$112.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
78k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionOpen World
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut $75.8M–$172.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
132k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.