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How many copies did Magicolors sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$788–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 50 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Magicolors and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magicolors's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–23k
best case 71k (Tiny Civilization)
Games like Magicolors

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–23k copies

≈ $7k–$81k after Steam's cut

from ~287 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Tiny Civilization at ≈ 54k–88k copies, ≈ $30k–$80k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 96 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 1k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (7 of 8) and Match 3 (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with God Game + Grand Strategy, priced around $2.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
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SolitaireCasual
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≈ 54k–88k
7.6x vs typical
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Board GameTabletop
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StrategyRogue-lite
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Free
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