How much revenue did 月球坠落时 Moon Fall make?

$110k–$297k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did 月球坠落时 Moon Fall sell?

Q: How many copies did 月球坠落时 Moon Fall sell?

27k to 44k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 27k–44k; $110k–$297k after Steam's cut $201k–$457k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 月球坠落时 Moon Fall and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 月球坠落时 Moon Fall's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–1.8M

best case 3.3M (Mirror)

Games like 月球坠落时 Moon Fall

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–1.8M copies

≈ $6.2M–$7.8M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror at ≈ 2.6M–4.1M copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 555 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (8 of 8) and Dating Sim (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Nudity, priced around $2. The breakout hits carry Female Protagonist + NSFW + Match 3; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Summer Memories 2020	Est. copies ≈ 625k–1.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
NEKOPARA Vol. 1 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HentaiAnime
Senren＊Banka 2020	Est. copies ≈ 923k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	37k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelNSFW
HuniePop 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	NudityMature
Crush Crush 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	29k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
ATRI -My Dear Moments- 2020	Est. copies ≈ 584k–949k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut	$20.99	24k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Mirror 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.1M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$1.99	84k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Tricolour Lovestory 2017	Est. copies ≈ 966k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $529k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $961k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$1.99	28k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDating Sim