How much revenue did Senren＊Banka make?

$8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Senren＊Banka sell?

Q: How many copies did Senren＊Banka sell?

923k to 1.5M copies, based on its 37k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 923k–1.5M; $8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.7M before Steam's cut; from 37k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Senren＊Banka and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Senren＊Banka's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–1.8M

best case 3.3M (Mirror)

Games like Senren＊Banka

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–1.8M copies

≈ $2.7M–$6.1M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Mirror at ≈ 2.6M–4.1M copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (6 of 8) and Nudity (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Game + Tabletop, priced around $6. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Crush Crush 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	29k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
UNO 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	54k reviews Mostly Positive	Card GameMultiplayer
Mirror 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.1M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$1.99	84k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
NBA 2K20 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	60k reviews Mixed	BasketballSports
Sakura Clicker 2015	Est. copies ≈ 698k–1.1M too small to compare SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	14k reviews Very Positive	NudityFree to Play
Tricolour Lovestory 2017	Est. copies ≈ 966k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $529k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $961k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$1.99	28k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDating Sim
NEKOPARA Vol. 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 535k–870k too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeSexual Content
NEKOPARA Vol. 1 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HentaiAnime