How much revenue did Tales of the Black Forest make?

$491k–$1.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tales of the Black Forest sell?

Q: How many copies did Tales of the Black Forest sell?

447k to 726k copies, based on its 16k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 447k–726k; $491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut; from 16k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tales of the Black Forest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tales of the Black Forest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 289k–1.2M

best case 2.9M (OMORI)

Games like Tales of the Black Forest

A typical game among these

≈ 289k–1.2M copies

≈ $1.3M–$7.3M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: OMORI at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and RPGMaker (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley 2023	Est. copies ≈ 982k–1.6M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut	$11.99	40k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PsychologicalDark Comedy
A Bird Story 2014	Est. copies ≈ 606k–984k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $665k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut	$3.99	11k reviews Very Positive	IndieStory Rich
Mad Father 2016	Est. copies ≈ 283k–461k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $779k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGMakerHorror
Angels of Death 2016	Est. copies ≈ 225k–366k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $619k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Puzzle Horror
OMORI 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 10x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Rakuen 2017	Est. copies ≈ 204k–332k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $841k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	6k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichEmotional
LISA: The Painful 2014	Est. copies ≈ 851k–1.4M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Dark HumorRPG
Confess My Love 2017	Est. copies ≈ 168k–273k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayAnime