How much revenue did Mad Father make?

$779k–$2.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mad Father sell?

Q: How many copies did Mad Father sell?

283k to 461k copies, based on its 7k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 283k–461k; $779k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut; from 7k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mad Father and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mad Father's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 421k–703k

best case 2.9M (OMORI)

Games like Mad Father

A typical game among these

≈ 421k–703k copies

≈ $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: OMORI at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share RPGMaker (5 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Story Rich + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
OneShot 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	65k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichPixel Graphics
Changed 2018	Est. copies ≈ 565k–919k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $776k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$4.99	19k reviews Very Positive	CuteDifficult
Tales of the Black Forest 2019	Est. copies ≈ 447k–726k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$3.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGRPGMaker
Impostor Factory 2021	Est. copies ≈ 319k–519k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $877k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichEmotional
LISA: The Painful 2014	Est. copies ≈ 851k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Dark HumorRPG
OMORI 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 6.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Material Girl 2017	Est. copies ≈ 304k–495k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	9k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Yume Nikki 2018	Est. copies ≈ 324k–526k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Very Positive	IndieFree to Play