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How many copies did Impostor Factory sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 319k–519k
$877k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
from 13k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Impostor Factory and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Impostor Factory's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 579k–871k
best case 7.2M (To the Moon)
Games like Impostor Factory

A typical game among these

≈ 579k–871k copies

≈ $3.1M–$9.0M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: To the Moon at ≈ 5.5M–8.9M copies, ≈ $15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 163 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Psychological Horror (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Psychological Horror, priced around $6. The breakout hits carry Visual Novel + Experimental + Abstract; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grimm's Hollow
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Est. copies
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Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk
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Est. copies
≈ 853k–1.4M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$349k–$939k after Steam's cut $635k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
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Children of Morta
2019
Est. copies
≈ 674k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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MultiplayerRogue-like
Finding Paradise
2017
Est. copies
≈ 702k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichEmotional
To the Moon
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
87k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichGreat Soundtrack
Outcore: Desktop Adventure
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Est. copies
≈ 457k–743k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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DISTRAINT: Deluxe Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 631k–1.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$866k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$4.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
OCTOPATH TRAVELER II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 436k–708k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.3M after Steam's cut $13.1M–$29.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
RPGTurn-Based

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