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How big is Grimm's Hollow?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 421k–684k
from 15k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Grimm's Hollow and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Grimm's Hollow's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 923k–2.7M
best case 9.9M (RimWorld)
Games like Grimm's Hollow

A typical game among these

≈ 923k–2.7M copies

≈ $4.9M–$6.1M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Management (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: RimWorld at ≈ 7.6M–12.3M copies, ≈ $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 26k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Management (3 of 8) and MMORPG (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Base-Building, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Colony Sim + Survival + Base-Building; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Realm of the Mad God Exalt
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsMMORPG
RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.3M
8.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
249k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
IdleOn - The Incremental MMO
2025
Est. copies
≈ 741k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
30k reviews
Mostly Positive
IdlerPixel Graphics
Trove
2015
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
93k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World
Streets of Rogue
2019
Est. copies
≈ 665k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.8M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
POLYGON
2020
Est. copies
≈ 918k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Kingdom: Classic
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
23k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
There Is No Game: Wrong Dimension
2020
Est. copies
≈ 648k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$12.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieAdventure

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