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How big is Outcore: Desktop Adventure?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 457k–743k
from 18k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Outcore: Desktop Adventure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Outcore: Desktop Adventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.4M–27.5M
best case 37.9M (HELLDIVERS™ 2)
Games like Outcore: Desktop Adventure

A typical game among these

≈ 5.4M–27.5M copies

≈ $56.3M–$517.5M after Steam's cut

from ~332k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: HELLDIVERS™ 2 at ≈ 28.9M–46.9M copies, ≈ $317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 84k reviews in their first month; the range was 21k to 251k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (2 of 8) and Choices Matter (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Shooter, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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2016
Est. copies
≈ 39.0M–63.3M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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$214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut
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HorrorMultiplayer
My Summer Car
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before Steam's cut
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Automobile SimSimulation
People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
321k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.8M–27.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut $83.7M–$190.4M before Steam's cut
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Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Helltaker
2020
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≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayCute
HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 28.9M–46.9M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.2M reviews
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Online Co-OpPvE
DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
441k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy

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