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wishvane

How many copies did Undertale sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15.4M–25.0M
$42.2M–$113.4M after Steam's cut $76.7M–$174.5M before the cut
from 331k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Undertale out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Undertale's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 35.0M–46.8M
best case 126.0M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
The Open World genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 35.0M–46.8M copies
≈ $436.0M–$807.1M after Steam's cut
from ~1.0M reviews
Best case
≈ 96.0M–156.0M copies
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (5 of 8) and Mature (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Crime + Automobile Sim + Third Person; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 96.0M–156.0M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt
2015
Est. copies
≈ 40.7M–66.2M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$448.1M–$1204.8M after Steam's cut $814.7M–$1853.5M before the cut
$39.99
878k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
ELDEN RING
2022
Est. copies
≈ 27.5M–44.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$453.0M–$1218.0M after Steam's cut $823.7M–$1873.9M before the cut
$59.99
1.1M reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeOpen World
Red Dead Redemption 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 25.9M–42.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$427.1M–$1148.4M after Steam's cut $776.6M–$1766.8M before the cut
$59.99
899k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldStory Rich
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$41.9M–$112.5M after Steam's cut $76.1M–$173.1M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 41.0M–66.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$169.0M–$454.3M after Steam's cut $307.2M–$698.9M before the cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 25.4M–41.2M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$418.4M–$1125.0M after Steam's cut $760.8M–$1730.7M before the cut
$59.99
961k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 27.6M–44.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$303.8M–$816.9M after Steam's cut $552.4M–$1256.8M before the cut
$39.99
1.2M reviews
Mostly Positive
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