How much revenue did OCTOPATH TRAVELER II make?

$7.2M–$19.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did OCTOPATH TRAVELER II sell?

Q: How many copies did OCTOPATH TRAVELER II sell?

436k to 708k copies, based on its 18k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 436k–708k; $7.2M–$19.3M after Steam's cut $13.1M–$29.7M before Steam's cut; from 18k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid OCTOPATH TRAVELER II and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OCTOPATH TRAVELER II's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 939k–1.3M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like OCTOPATH TRAVELER II

A typical game among these

≈ 939k–1.3M copies

≈ $13.3M–$19.2M after Steam's cut

from ~34k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and JRPG (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Library Of Ruina 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.2M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	45k reviews Very Positive	Story RichCard Game
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 20x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
OMORI 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Persona 4 Golden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	88k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Like a Dragon: Infinite Wealth 2024	Est. copies ≈ 599k–973k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $11.5M–$31.0M after Steam's cut $20.9M–$47.7M before Steam's cut	$69.99	24k reviews Very Positive	ActionJRPG
FINAL FANTASY VII unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 754k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	30k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG
Yakuza: Like a Dragon 2020	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	38k reviews Very Positive	RPGAdventure
South Park™: The Stick of Truth™ 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $34.0M–$91.4M after Steam's cut $61.8M–$140.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	74k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGComedy