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How many copies did South Park™: The Stick of Truth™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
$34.0M–$91.4M after Steam's cut $61.8M–$140.6M before Steam's cut
from 74k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid South Park™: The Stick of Truth™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including South Park™: The Stick of Truth™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 874k–1.5M
best case 11.5M (POSTAL 2)
Games like South Park™: The Stick of Truth™

A typical game among these

≈ 874k–1.5M copies

≈ $5.8M–$11.9M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: POSTAL 2 at ≈ 8.7M–14.2M copies, ≈ $24.0M–$64.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dark Humor (7 of 8) and Comedy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Violent + Dark Humor, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Violent + Open World + Sandbox; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

LISA: The Painful
2014
Est. copies
≈ 851k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dark HumorRPG
High On Life
2022
Est. copies
≈ 640k–1.0M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.0M–$18.9M after Steam's cut $12.8M–$29.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
26k reviews
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ComedyFPS
The WereCleaner
2024
Est. copies
≈ 329k–535k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Free
Free
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthCasual
Who's Your Daddy?!
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.8M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$15.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
32k reviews
Mostly Positive
FunnyMultiplayer
Worms Armageddon
2013
Est. copies
≈ 692k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyMultiplayer
Surgeon Simulator
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFunny
POSTAL 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
8.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$24.0M–$64.5M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
138k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ViolentDark Humor
South Park™: The Fractured But Whole™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.6M–$25.7M after Steam's cut $17.4M–$39.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
RPGComedy

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