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How many copies did Worms Armageddon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 692k–1.1M
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.8M before Steam's cut
from 11k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Worms Armageddon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Worms Armageddon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–3.8M
best case 21.7M (Counter-Strike)
Games like Worms Armageddon

A typical game among these

≈ 3.0M–3.8M copies

≈ $22.5M–$30.8M after Steam's cut

from ~51k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Counter-Strike at ≈ 16.6M–26.9M copies, ≈ $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share RTS (5 of 8) and Historical (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with RTS + Medieval, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Medieval + Historical; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2000 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Age of Empires II (Retired)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$35.7M–$96.1M after Steam's cut $65.0M–$147.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
103k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyRTS
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut $92.1M–$209.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
183k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Sid Meier's Civilization® V
2010
Est. copies
≈ 13.3M–21.7M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$110.0M–$295.6M after Steam's cut $199.9M–$454.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
211k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based StrategyStrategy
Counter-Strike
2000
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionFPS
Men of War: Assault Squad 2
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$21.6M–$58.0M after Steam's cut $39.3M–$89.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
47k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
STAR WARS™ Empire at War - Gold Pack
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
43k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyRTS
Age of Empires III: Definitive Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.1M–$35.3M after Steam's cut $23.9M–$54.4M before Steam's cut
$34.99
55k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyBase-Building
STAR WARS™ Battlefront II (Classic, 2005)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.4M–$25.4M after Steam's cut $17.1M–$39.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Very Positive
ActionMultiplayer

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