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How many copies did POSTAL 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
$24.0M–$64.5M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.3M before Steam's cut
from 138k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid POSTAL 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including POSTAL 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 423k–849k
best case 1.9M (Hatred)
Games like POSTAL 2

A typical game among these

≈ 423k–849k copies

≈ $3.6M–$8.3M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Gore (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Hatred at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Gore (4 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Gore + Violent, priced around $6.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Maneater
2021
Est. copies
≈ 669k–1.1M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldDark Humor
Styx: Shards of Darkness
2017
Est. copies
≈ 242k–393k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
StealthSingleplayer
Hatred
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut
$5.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
GoreViolent
Saints Row: Gat out of Hell
2015
Est. copies
≈ 478k–777k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionOpen World
POSTAL 4: No Regerts
2022
Est. copies
≈ 335k–544k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Mixed
AdventureGore
High On Life
2022
Est. copies
≈ 640k–1.0M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.0M–$18.9M after Steam's cut $12.8M–$29.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyFPS
Bulletstorm: Full Clip Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 335k–544k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
ActionGore
Destroy All Humans!
2020
Est. copies
≈ 285k–464k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure

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