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How many copies did Styx: Shards of Darkness sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 242k–393k
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Styx: Shards of Darkness and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Styx: Shards of Darkness's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.5M–7.0M
best case 10.3M (Batman™: Arkham Knight)
Games like Styx: Shards of Darkness

A typical game among these

≈ 4.5M–7.0M copies

≈ $41.7M–$54.9M after Steam's cut

from ~76k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Batman™: Arkham Knight at ≈ 7.8M–12.7M copies, ≈ $43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Stealth (8 of 8) and Third Person (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Superhero, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Batman: Arkham Asylum Game of the Year Edition
2010
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.5M–$82.0M after Steam's cut $55.5M–$126.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionStealth
Batman: Arkham City - Game of the Year Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.3M–$73.3M after Steam's cut $49.6M–$112.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
78k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionOpen World
METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Very Positive
StealthOpen World
HITMAN™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
A Plague Tale: Innocence
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$23.1M–$62.1M after Steam's cut $42.0M–$95.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAdventure
Assassin's Creed 2
2010
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.5M after Steam's cut $38.9M–$88.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
62k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Hitman: Absolution™
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.6M after Steam's cut $40.3M–$91.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
64k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
Batman™: Arkham Knight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut $78.2M–$177.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
160k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World

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