Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did South Park™: The Fractured But Whole™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
$9.6M–$25.7M after Steam's cut $17.4M–$39.5M before Steam's cut
from 34k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid South Park™: The Fractured But Whole™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including South Park™: The Fractured But Whole™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 782k–2.8M
best case 25.9M (Borderlands 2)
Games like South Park™: The Fractured But Whole™

A typical game among these

≈ 782k–2.8M copies

≈ $6.3M–$18.2M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Borderlands 2 at ≈ 19.8M–32.1M copies, ≈ $217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 29k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (3 of 8) and Comedy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Loot + Shooter, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Looter Shooter + Loot; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–810k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
Shakes and Fidget
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayRPG
South Park™: The Stick of Truth™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.0M–$91.4M after Steam's cut $61.8M–$140.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
74k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGComedy
Bully: Scholarship Edition
2008
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.0M–$29.6M after Steam's cut $20.0M–$45.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
42k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Borderlands 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 19.8M–32.1M
9.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut $395.1M–$898.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
313k reviews
Very Positive
LootShooter
Borderlands Game of the Year Enhanced
2023
Est. copies
≈ 693k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.7M–$15.4M after Steam's cut $10.4M–$23.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
Tales from the Borderlands
2021
Est. copies
≈ 486k–790k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyAdventure
Borderlands Game of the Year
2023
Est. copies
≈ 791k–1.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.5M–$17.5M after Steam's cut $11.9M–$27.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Looter ShooterFPS

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.