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How big is Shakes and Fidget?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
from 37k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shakes and Fidget and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shakes and Fidget's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.6M–7.9M
best case 35.2M (ARK: Survival Evolved)
Games like Shakes and Fidget

A typical game among these

≈ 5.6M–7.9M copies

≈ $84.6M–$109.9M after Steam's cut

from ~165k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action RPG (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.8M–43.5M copies, ≈ $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 114k reviews in their first month; the range was 57k to 128k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (3 of 8) and MMORPG (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Dinosaurs + Crafting + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Robocraft
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
117k reviews
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ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
678k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
Path of Exile
2013
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.7M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
250k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayDark Fantasy
Lost Ark
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
203k reviews
Mostly Positive
MMORPGFree to Play
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
SMITE®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.5M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
120k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMOBA
SCUM
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$39.0M–$104.9M after Steam's cut $70.9M–$161.4M before Steam's cut
$44.99
127k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft

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