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How many copies did Rock of Ages 3: Make & Break sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 44k–71k
$180k–$483k after Steam's cut $327k–$743k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rock of Ages 3: Make & Break and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rock of Ages 3: Make & Break's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–23.7M
best case 51.1M (Dead by Daylight)
Games like Rock of Ages 3: Make & Break

A typical game among these

≈ 4.8M–23.7M copies

≈ $37.3M–$166.3M after Steam's cut

from ~178k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Dead by Daylight at ≈ 39.0M–63.3M copies, ≈ $214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (2 of 8) and Dark Humor (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition
2009
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.5M after Steam's cut $24.7M–$56.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
156k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseZombies
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Cities: Skylines
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
291k reviews
Very Positive
Cult of the Lamb
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.6M after Steam's cut $40.3M–$91.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
130k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Base-BuildingCute
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 39.0M–63.3M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
937k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Overcooked! 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$17.7M–$47.5M after Steam's cut $32.1M–$73.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
85k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOnline Co-Op
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
154k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSimulation

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