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How many copies did Zen Chess: Champion's Moves sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$392–$1k after Steam's cut $713–$2k before Steam's cut
from 50 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Zen Chess: Champion's Moves and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Zen Chess: Champion's Moves's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–2.1M
best case 9.4M (Kerbal Space Program)
Games like Zen Chess: Champion's Moves

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–2.1M copies

≈ $8.9M–$18.7M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Kerbal Space Program at ≈ 7.2M–11.7M copies, ≈ $79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Sandbox (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Building, priced around $32. The breakout hits carry Building + Design & Illustration + Sandbox; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NudityMature
Car Mechanic Simulator 2018
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.7M–$28.8M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAutomobile Sim
Universe Sandbox
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.0M–$35.0M after Steam's cut $23.6M–$53.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSpace
House Flipper
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$96.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
112k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDesign & Illustration
Kerbal Space Program
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.2M–11.7M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut $143.6M–$326.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
147k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SpaceSimulation
Car Mechanic Simulator 2021
2021
Est. copies
≈ 963k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.6M–$17.8M after Steam's cut $12.0M–$27.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationAutomobile Sim
Draw & Guess
2021
Est. copies
≈ 874k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$4.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
PartyMultiplayer
PC Building Simulator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationEducation

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