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How many copies did Atelier Ryza: Ever Darkness & the Secret Hideout sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 253k–412k
from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Atelier Ryza: Ever Darkness & the Secret Hideout and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Atelier Ryza: Ever Darkness & the Secret Hideout's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–16.8M
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like Atelier Ryza: Ever Darkness & the Secret Hideout

A typical game among these

≈ 3.3M–16.8M copies

≈ $26.2M–$129.6M after Steam's cut

from ~86k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Crafting (2 of 3) and JRPG (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

FINAL FANTASY XIV Online
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.4M–$71.0M after Steam's cut $48.0M–$109.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive
MMORPGRPG
WitchSpring R
2023
Est. copies
≈ 204k–331k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before Steam's cut
$34.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CuteRPG
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
8.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.