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How big is Castle Woodwarf?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 6k–9k
from 197 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Castle Woodwarf and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Castle Woodwarf's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 38k–1.9M
best case 18.7M (Cities: Skylines)
Games like Castle Woodwarf

A typical game among these

≈ 38k–1.9M copies

≈ $55k–$499k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Cities: Skylines at ≈ 14.2M–23.1M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 576 reviews in their first month; the range was 26 to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Management (8 of 8) and Simulation (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Simulation, priced around $30.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Supermarket Together
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
52x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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100k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationOnline Co-Op
Kingdom: Classic
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Free
Free
23k reviews
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Free to PlayStrategy
Cities: Skylines
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
153x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
291k reviews
Very Positive
Necrosmith 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 38k–62k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$83k–$224k after Steam's cut $151k–$345k before Steam's cut
$7.99
2k reviews
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Tower DefenseStrategy
Omnibullet
2024
Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$11.99
37 reviews
Positive
PuzzleLogic
Dungeon Tycoon
2024
Est. copies
≈ 48k–79k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$200k–$537k after Steam's cut $363k–$826k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Conan Unconquered
2019
Est. copies
≈ 54k–87k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$294k–$792k after Steam's cut $535k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mixed
StrategyRTS
Drill Deal – Oil Tycoon
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $22k–$50k before Steam's cut
$14.99
119 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.