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How big is NERTS! Online?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 42k–68k
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NERTS! Online and predicted how it would do from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including NERTS! Online's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12k–19k
best case 224k (Yi Xian: The Cultivation Card Game)
Games like NERTS! Online

A typical game among these

≈ 12k–19k copies

≈ $37k–$72k after Steam's cut

from ~411 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 6 similar games are hits.

Best case: Yi Xian: The Cultivation Card Game at ≈ 171k–278k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 275 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Solitaire (5 of 6) and Card Game (4 of 6).
The winners
Winners here lead with Solitaire. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Card Battler + Turn-Based Tactics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 6 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Yi Xian: The Cultivation Card Game
2024
Est. copies
≈ 171k–278k
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayCard Battler
Poker Master - Texas Hold'em, Roulette, Blackjack, Baccarat, Omaha, Slots, Teen Patti, Mahjong, Landlord, Showhand, Bullfighting, Chinese poker
2020
Est. copies
≈ 131k–214k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySolitaire
Cat Lady - The Card Game
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut
$3.99
327 reviews
Very Positive
CasualStrategy
斗牌魂
2023
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
649 reviews
Mixed
CasualStrategy
Mystic Vale
2019
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$48k–$130k after Steam's cut $88k–$200k before Steam's cut
$12.99
469 reviews
Very Positive
DeckbuildingStrategy
斗地主少女在线版
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
353 reviews
Mixed
CasualCard Game

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