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How many copies did Exile Squadron sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 605–983
$497–$1k after Steam's cut $904–$2k before Steam's cut
from 21 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Exile Squadron and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Exile Squadron's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–5k
best case 160k (Super Amazing Wagon Adventure)
Games like Exile Squadron

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–5k copies

≈ $2k–$42k after Steam's cut

from ~72 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Super Amazing Wagon Adventure at ≈ 122k–198k copies, ≈ $100k–$269k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 18.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shoot 'Em Up (8 of 8) and Side Scroller (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Side Scroller, priced around $3. The breakout hits carry Twin Stick Shooter + Western + Comedy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gimel Dimension
2018
Est. copies
≈ 669–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$9.99
22 reviews
Mixed
Side ScrollerShoot 'Em Up
Soulvester VS Lil' Beezey
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$344–$926 after Steam's cut $626–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
51 reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeSide Scroller
SCRUMLORDS
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
$0.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
Action RoguelikeSide Scroller
Cyber Hunter: Awakening
2021
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
16 reviews
Mixed
Spectacle fighterSide Scroller
Super Amazing Wagon Adventure
2013
Est. copies
≈ 122k–198k
27x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$100k–$269k after Steam's cut $182k–$414k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeSide Scroller
Earth Atlantis
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
$14.99
92 reviews
Mixed
IndieAction
Stellar Interface
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $61k–$138k before Steam's cut
$12.99
224 reviews
Mostly Positive
Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up
Gearshifters
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$27k–$72k after Steam's cut $49k–$111k before Steam's cut
$24.99
157 reviews
Very Positive
Combat RacingShoot 'Em Up

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.