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How many copies did Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 168k–273k
$1.8M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 587k–2.4M
best case 3.9M (eFootball™)
Games like Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions

A typical game among these

≈ 587k–2.4M copies

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: eFootball™ at ≈ 2.9M–4.8M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Football (Soccer) (3 of 3) and Simulation (3 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Sports.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PRO EVOLUTION SOCCER 2018
2017
Est. copies
≈ 142k–231k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mixed
SportsFootball (Soccer)
eFootball™
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
119k reviews
Mixed
Football (Soccer)Free to Play
eFootball PES 2020
2019
Est. copies
≈ 752k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsFootball (Soccer)

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.