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How many copies did PRO EVOLUTION SOCCER 2018 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 142k–231k
from 4k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid PRO EVOLUTION SOCCER 2018 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PRO EVOLUTION SOCCER 2018's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 738k–1.2M
best case 37.2M (Rocket League®)
Games like PRO EVOLUTION SOCCER 2018

A typical game among these

≈ 738k–1.2M copies

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Rocket League® at ≈ 28.3M–46.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Football (Soccer) (8 of 8) and Sports (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Competitive. The breakout hits carry Racing + Team-Based + Competitive; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rocket League®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 28.3M–46.0M
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
580k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
eFootball PES 2021 SEASON UPDATE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 945k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
38k reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsFootball (Soccer)
Football Manager 2021
2020
Est. copies
≈ 591k–961k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24k reviews
Very Positive
SportsSimulation
Football Manager 2019
2018
Est. copies
≈ 379k–617k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSports
Football Manager 2022
2021
Est. copies
≈ 534k–867k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
22k reviews
Very Positive
SportsManagement
Football Manager 2020
2019
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSports
eFootball PES 2020
2019
Est. copies
≈ 752k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsFootball (Soccer)
EA SPORTS™ FIFA 21
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
56k reviews
Mostly Positive
Football (American)Football (Soccer)

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